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There are many methods for predicting the development prospects of diesel particulate filters (DPF), mainly including the following:
1. Time series
In predicting the development prospects of diesel particulate filters (DPF), a series of economic indicators that change over time are often encountered, such as the annual (quarterly) sales and supply of DPF enterprise products. These sets of data arranged in chronological order are called time series. The method of predicting based on time series is called time series prediction.
2. Returning
(1) The meaning of 'return'. Regression refers to the analysis and study of the dependency relationship between a variable (dependent variable) and one or several other variables (independent variables), with the aim of estimating or predicting the population mean of the dependent variable based on a set of known independent variable data values. In economic forecasting, people take the forecast object (economic indicators) as the dependent variable and the influencing factors closely related to the forecast object as independent variables. Based on the historical and statistical data of both, establish a regression model and use it for prediction after statistical testing. Regression prediction includes univariate regression prediction with one independent variable and multivariate regression prediction with multiple independent variables. Here, we only discuss the univariate linear regression prediction method.
(2) The basic conditions for regression analysis. When using a set of known independent variable data to estimate and predict the value of a dependent variable, these two variables need to meet the following two conditions:
Firstly, analyze the relevant relationships. Statistical correlation is an uncertain functional relationship, where the value of the dependent variable (predictor variable) is significantly correlated with the value of one or more independent variables, but cannot be accurately and uniquely determined. The variables in this relationship are all random variables. This kind of correlation exists extensively in economic phenomena.
Secondly, the causal relationship. If one or several independent variables x change and affect another variable y according to a certain pattern, and the change in y cannot affect x, that is, the change in x is the cause of the change in y, rather than the opposite, then there is a causal relationship between x and y. The model that reflects the causal relationship is called a regression model.
3. Qualitative and quantitative analysis
Another classification method for predicting development prospects can generally be divided into two categories: qualitative prediction and quantitative prediction. For enterprise marketing managers, the main methods of enterprise forecasting that they should understand and master are:
(1) Qualitative prediction method
Qualitative prediction method, also known as intuitive judgment method, is a commonly used method for predicting the development prospects of diesel particulate filters (DPF). Qualitative prediction mainly relies on the information, experience, and comprehensive judgment ability of forecasters to predict the future situation and development trend of the market. This type of prediction method is simple and easy to implement, especially suitable for problems that are difficult to obtain comprehensive data for statistical analysis. Therefore, qualitative prediction methods have been widely applied in predicting the development prospects of diesel particulate filters (DPF). Qualitative prediction methods include expert meeting method, Delphi method, salesperson opinion gathering method, and customer demand intention survey method.
(2) Quantitative prediction method
Quantitative prediction is the use of comprehensive historical data, mathematical models, and econometric methods to predict the future market demand for diesel particulate filters (DPF). Quantitative prediction can be divided into two categories: time series patterns and causal relationship patterns.
With the increasing competition in the diesel particulate filter (DPF) industry, mergers and acquisitions, integration, and capital operations among large enterprises are becoming more frequent. Excellent diesel particulate filter (DPF) companies at home and abroad are paying more and more attention to the analysis and research of the diesel particulate filter (DPF) market, especially in-depth research on the current market environment and customer demand trends, in order to occupy the market in advance and gain a first mover advantage. As a result, a large number of excellent diesel particulate filter (DPF) brands have rapidly emerged and gradually become leaders in the industry. Industry Research Network utilizes various information processing technologies to collect, organize, process, and analyze massive data in the diesel particulate filter (DPF) industry market, providing customers with comprehensive information solutions and consulting services, minimizing investment risks and operating costs for DPF customers, seizing investment opportunities, and enhancing enterprise competitiveness.
